According the Paul Krugman we can decipher the election results in the above graphic because:
The political scientists I talk to basically have the view that nothing much matters in presidential elections except the rate of change in economic conditions — not the level — in the year or less preceding the election. If that’s true, the Democrats should have it in the bag. This year’s economy will almost certainly be at least as bad as 1992, and stands a chance, in terms of stagnant real personal income per capita, of being as bad as 1980.
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