Lubos Motl has looked at the accuracy of these predictions:
Predicted increase | Actual increase | Overestimate by (in pct) | |
CO2 conc. | 81 ppm | 45 ppm | 80% |
Temperature | 3.9 °C | 0.3 °C | 1200% |
Sea level | 305 cm | 10 cm | 2950% |
Sadly, I suspect the current dire doomsday predictions of the "global warming" crowd will prove to be no more accurate than Moynihan's. The problem with being a doom-and-gloomster is that there is a psychological component that compells a person to over-indulge in pessimism.
Go read the original post to get all the embedded links to original material.
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